How to predict a tornado: What do we know?

Currently we can do this with as much as 15-20 minutes warning. But forecasting actual tornadoes is beyond our reach now.

British business leaders: The economic case to stay in the EU is overwhelming

British business community responded to increasing anti-EU political rhetoric. Does British business community has a potential to significantly influence the debate on the future of UK in the EU and how?

Do current scandals have some potential to haunt Obama and Dems in the future?

Like many previous presidencies embroiled in these types of scandals, Obama’s White House has been slow to respond.

Hollande’s EU vision. Is it genuine and realistic?

Read few comments.

Questions:

1. Do you think Hollande’s proposals about the economic government with its own budget and right to borrow are only political in the sense he needed something strong to counter the recession news or that this is really Paris’ plans?

2. Do you consider it realistic? Can he eventually win the support of the other Eurozone countries for such proposal?

Answers:

Robert Ladrech, Professor of European Politics, School of Politics, International Relations & Philosophy, Keele University

1. I think it is both; in other words, he needed to have an initiative to counter the accumulating bad news, especially economic, and second, as a French Socialists, this proposition which puts some content into notions of political union are consistent with the general line of the party. Added details of course would be due, and to assuage his left-wing, he would need to show that such an economic government was not simply an extension of the ECB. Bear in mind also that German elections are only 4 months away, so it positions France to keep this idea alive whichever side wins.

2. It is not realistic in the short term, but if all the proposed changes of the past year or two become the basis of a new treaty – that is, further development to the Fiscal compact – then a model of such a ‘deepened’ EU-core needs to be articulated. In this respect, say a few years from now, and if the economy turns around, then maybe this will not sound too far-fetched.

(Thanks to @SunWuKchung for providing this).

Bangladesh: What can ensure better working conditions?

More than a dozen brands plan to sign a five-year contract that requires they help pay for fire safety and building improvements.

What can the EU do on possible Brexit amid Tory civil war?

The Conservative leadership will publish a draft Bill to guarantee that an in/out referendum on Europe will be held by 2017. From the outside it seems that PM Cameron is first of all trying to please the part of his Conservative Party. But would you say that the EU, members states should somehow react on what is going on in the UK or not, and why? Read few comments.

How much of Iran is in Israeli air strikes in Syria?

Read few comments.

German neo-Nazi trial begins. What to expect?

Eight Turkish men, a Greek man and a German policewoman were killed by the neo-Nazi cell National Socialist Underground. The surviving member of the far-right gang Beate Zschäpe goes on trial.

Tarek Osman: Will Egypt manage to move from limbo to stability?

My short email interview on Egypt with Tarek Osman who is the author of the book Egypt on the Brink: From Nasser to Mubarak

UKIP’s remarkable night. And what’s next?

Nigel Farage said that for UKIP it was a remarkable night. Do you agree with his statement  and would you say there are some implication for the future of British politics? Read few comments.